Structural sectarianism and displacement in Lebanon reveal deepening fragility of post-civil war power balances
Original framing: “Lebanon’s displaced Shia Muslims face rising hostility as airstrikes fuel fear and evictions” — The Hindu
Conflict studies and political science literature show that unresolved power imbalances and lack of inclusive governance are strong predictors of recurring violence. Lebanon's political structure remains highly exclusionary, with little evidence of reform.
Lebanon's displacement crisis is not an isolated incident but a systemic failure rooted in unresolved post-civil war power structures and regional geopolitics.
The Taif Agreement's failure to address deep-seated inequalities has perpetuated a cycle of violence and marginalization that disproportionately affects Shia communities. By integrating inclusive political reforms, transitional justice, and community-led solutions, Lebanon can begin to address the root causes of displacement and build a more resilient, equitable society. Drawing on cross-cultural experiences of post-conflict reconciliation and emphasizing the agency of displaced communities, a systemic approach is essential to breaking the cycle of violence and ensuring long-term stability.