Energy diversification reduces geopolitical shock: Asia‑Pacific’s fossil‑fuel dependence and the need for systemic green transition
Original framing: “Green transition: Pay the Least, Benefit the Most” — Global Issues
Energy system modelling shows that a 30 % increase in renewable capacity across ASEAN by 2035 would cut exposure to chokepoint disruptions by over 60 %, while also delivering emissions reductions aligned with the Paris Agreement. Empirical analyses of oil price volatility confirm that diversification buffers economies against geopolitical shocks. Scientific evidence therefore underpins the economic case for a coordinated green transition.
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz exposed a fragile energy architecture built on historic extraction, subsidised fossil fuels, and a neglect of Indigenous stewardship.
By integrating scientific modelling with Indigenous knowledge, cross‑cultural lessons, and artistic‑spiritual narratives, a resilient regional renewable grid can be co‑created, funded through reallocated subsidies and climate finance. Empowering community‑owned cooperatives and embedding energy literacy transforms the power balance, turning marginalised voices into decision‑makers. This systemic shift not only mitigates geopolitical shocks but also aligns the Asia‑Pacific with global climate goals, demonstrating that equitable, diversified energy systems are both economically prudent and socially just.